Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.001262 0.001326 0.001393 0.001466 0.001544 0.001626 0.001717
2025-06-29 0.001148 0.001240 0.001338 0.001450 0.001575 0.001710 0.001868
2025-07-06 0.001063 0.001173 0.001292 0.001433 0.001595 0.001776 0.001995
2025-07-13 0.000986 0.001105 0.001238 0.001398 0.001587 0.001805 0.002076
2025-07-20 0.000944 0.001074 0.001221 0.001403 0.001621 0.001880 0.002211
2025-07-27 0.000912 0.001050 0.001210 0.001411 0.001659 0.001958 0.002351
2025-08-03 0.000888 0.001035 0.001207 0.001427 0.001704 0.002046 0.002508
2025-08-10 0.000857 0.001009 0.001190 0.001425 0.001725 0.002103 0.002624
2025-08-17 0.000816 0.000969 0.001153 0.001394 0.001708 0.002108 0.002672
2025-08-24 0.000785 0.000939 0.001126 0.001375 0.001704 0.002130 0.002742
2025-08-31 0.000764 0.000922 0.001115 0.001376 0.001724 0.002185 0.002858
2025-09-07 0.000739 0.000898 0.001095 0.001363 0.001725 0.002212 0.002935
2025-09-14 0.000717 0.000877 0.001079 0.001357 0.001739 0.002260 0.003051
2025-09-21 0.000692 0.000854 0.001059 0.001344 0.001743 0.002295 0.003151
2025-09-28 0.000669 0.000830 0.001037 0.001330 0.001742 0.002324 0.003242
2025-10-05 0.000640 0.000799 0.001005 0.001299 0.001717 0.002315 0.003275
2025-10-12 0.000627 0.000788 0.000999 0.001302 0.001742 0.002380 0.003425
2025-10-19 0.000616 0.000779 0.000996 0.001310 0.001772 0.002454 0.003594
2025-10-26 0.000608 0.000775 0.000997 0.001325 0.001813 0.002545 0.003798
2025-11-02 0.000594 0.000762 0.000987 0.001323 0.001828 0.002597 0.003938
2025-11-09 0.000573 0.000738 0.000961 0.001295 0.001803 0.002585 0.003967
2025-11-16 0.000557 0.000720 0.000942 0.001278 0.001793 0.002596 0.004038
2025-11-23 0.000546 0.000711 0.000936 0.001278 0.001811 0.002652 0.004190